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Amdocs Analyst Day: Can Amdocs Assist Operators in Meeting a SIMmering Challenge to Their Business Models? – Part Two

Ron Westfall

Summary Bullets:

The arrival of the AppleSIM has stirred debate on the implications it has on operator business plans. With software SIM capabilities mobile device users could ultimately select service plans on the fly from their device. The first iteration of AppleSIM support, among AT&T, T-Mobile and Sprint, gives operators a great deal of control over the customer relation. AT&T has made it so that once a user chooses an AT&T plan, they have to buy another SIM if they want to switch to another carrier. Only T-Mobile and Sprint are supporting the ability to switch plans dynamically, but only outside of their own sales channels. Also Verizon is not supporting the AppleSIM and operators are selling iPads in their own sales channels with their own SIMs installed.

Arguably the operators are in wait-and-see mode. At this juncture, they have little to lose. Connected tablet sales for operators outside of their own sales channels are extremely low. This represents mostly upside for operators in the short term. Anything that makes it easy and simple to choose a plan at retail is good. If operators see that, then they are likely to support similar SIMs with other OEMs.

The near-term competitive threat of software SIM technology may prove over stated. However, long term software SIM technology could end up dramatically altering the competitive stakes. As a result Amdocs needs to form an alliance with Apple to ensure its can play a decisive role in operator planning for software SIMs. What are the incentives for Amdocs and Apple to officially ally?:

Understanding the potential disruption that software SIM technology could cause to operator business models is at its earliest stage. Unfolding events such as Apple also integrating AppleSIM onto its future release iPhone products (e.g., VoLTE-enabled iPhones) will yield the definitive data points and use cases required for operators to adapt to the long-term competitive implications. Whether other device suppliers will follow suit with their own software SIM implementations remains up in the air. Likewise factors such as regulatory restrictions and fragmented operator support of service plans catering to software SIM-enabled service plan selectivity can hamper customer/user adoption of the capabilities. Regardless Amdocs needs a formal alliance with Apple to meaningfully influence operator decision making on software SIM adaption during its nascent stage.

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