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Cisco: Mobile Ambition vs. History

Peter Jarich

Summary Bullets:

We’re currently in the middle of updating our assessment of Cisco in the mobile access infrastructure space.  This process involved multiple drafts, along with a vendor review opportunity.  As I was doing my part in the chain – getting Sr. Analyst Ed Gubbins some feedback on his solid analysis – it occurred to me just how far Cisco has come in wireless.

In his analysis, Ed calls out how Cisco’s vision around its Quantum suite in mobility – pulling together small cells, WiFi, policy, network optimization and user analytics – is pretty ambitious and may scare off some operators which see it as too complex.  I remember making this point back around the Mobile World Congress timeframe when the vision was first laid out.  At the time, however, there was a larger point to be made; this sort of vision is particularly impressive for Cisco.  This is not to imply that Cisco isn’t full of creative people with novel ideas on how to help operators make money from mobile.  Instead, it is simply about looking back and realizing that, for many years, Cisco’s core message in mobility revolved around IP.  As mobile networks moved towards IP, Cisco would say, its relevance in the mobile network would only increase.  While true, the lifespan of this message was bound to be limited.  Why?

On this last point, you need look no further than Cisco’s recent work with Verizon on a new innovation center in San Francisco.  The cost of downtown San Francisco real estate alone signals how important this is to all involved.  Against that backdrop, it is now incumbent on Cisco to demonstrate how it’s executing on the vision it outlined back around Mobile World Congress.  Examples of operators leveraging advanced monetization capabilities aren’t just important for demonstrating that Cisco has the products and expertise to turn its vision into reality.  They’re also important for helping operators see what’s possible – for fueling their interest in new innovative service models and associating Cisco with them.

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