Inferencing at the Edge – Will AI Revive the Old Edge Compute Idea?

Emir Halilovic, Principal Analyst

Summary Bullets

• Inferencing at the edge is seen as a potential strong driver for CSP revenues, mostly driven by the projected requirements of the physical AI

• But the whole concept is similar to ill-fated edge computing (or mobile/multi-access edge computing), tempering the optimistic outlook

As enterprises and public sector organizations continue developing future AI use cases that depend on physical AI, it’s becoming increasingly likely that the predicted distribution of AI inferencing beyond the centralized hyperscaler data centers will indeed happen. One of the key locations for this distributed inferencing is projected to be at the edge of the network – ensuring that physical AI workloads are served with the lowest possible latency, while being offloaded from the actual robots or connected devices, which might be limited in battery capacity, processing power, or both. In other words, inferencing at the edge is supposed to fill the gap between on-device inferencing, which is zero-latency, but limited in terms of processing power and (likely) battery capacity, and centralized data center inferencing, which is practically unlimited in terms of processing power, but has to traverse many networking domains that can introduce unacceptably high latency and undermine the determinism that will be key in physical AI use cases. The main deployment model for inferencing at the edge discussed at MWC counts on deploying GPU- or CPU-based processing power at distributed RAN (D-RAN) and centralized RAN (C-RAN) radio sites, using the same processing capacity for RAN workloads and AI inferencing. However, edge inferencing can also be deployed at the provider edge in fixed access networks, or IP transport for example.

Inferencing traffic for workloads executed at the edge would thus traverse only single-domain, relatively low-latency radio access or fixed access link, while benefiting from pooling resources and not being subject to power supply limitations.


Edge inferencing diagram, GlobalData 2026

Although inferencing at the edge sounds like a logical opportunity for opening a new revenue source for CSPs, there’s still a lot of skepticism about the size of the opportunity and its timing. For example, although potential physical AI implementations look compelling, there are very few (if any) mature physical AI use cases deployed in the field. Further questions remain over what the preferred model for its deployment will be – CSP-owned and operated infrastructure, or some kind of cooperation with hyperscalers.

Finally, opinions differ over what will be the preferred hardware platform for edge inferencing – a lot of experimentation at the moment focuses on GPUs (primarily NVIDIA), while major CPU vendors like Intel and AMD, and their technology partners (Dell, HPE) are pushing general, CPU-based compute platforms touting lower power envelopes and higher efficiency. The choice between CPUs or GPUs for edge inferencing is also likely to shape the way the AI RAN, vRAN, and cloud RAN landscape will develop in the future. In essence, if operators decide that GPUs are necessary for running AI and RAN workloads at the edge, the arguments about efficiency and power envelopes will fall by the wayside. If, on the other hand, CPUs prove sufficient, the operators will indeed continue to use power and efficiency as some of the main buying criteria. But, before all that, operators and their vendors need to credibly prove that inferencing at the edge will actually bring palpable – and sizeable – new revenue to CSPs. Without that, inferencing at the edge will remain a nifty concept without much practical implementation potential.

IRIS²: Europe Launches a Satellite Communication Program

Y. Almadani

Summary Bullets:

• IRIS² aims to enter service by early 2031, providing internet access and secure communications for different applications, similar to SpaceX’s Starshield and Starlink.

• The EUR10.6 billion project funded by the EU, ESA, and consortium companies, aims to increase Europe’s strategic autonomy and unlock a new area for economic growth.

The European Commission has signed a concession contract for IRIS², the European satellite constellation announced two years ago, which will oversee the development, deployment, and operation of a network of secure, multi-orbital satellites. Continue reading “IRIS²: Europe Launches a Satellite Communication Program”

Ericsson Bolsters vRAN Partnership with Dell, Signaling a More Committed Market Approach

Ed Gubbins, Principal Analyst

Summary Bullets:
• Ericsson is expanding its virtual RAN (vRAN) partnership with server maker Dell to include more joint solution development, customer engagement, and support.

• The deal shows each vendor taking a more committed approach to pursuing the vRAN market, interest in which has surged in the past two years.

Ericsson is strengthening its partnership with server maker Dell Technologies in the vRAN space this week, boosting what was a mere supplier agreement into more of a joint solution partnership. Continue reading “Ericsson Bolsters vRAN Partnership with Dell, Signaling a More Committed Market Approach”

Jio’s Acquisition of Mimosa is Another Sign of Indian Telecom Transformation

Ed Gubbins, Principal Analyst

Summary Bullets:

• Radisys, a RAN software provider owned by India’s Reliance Industries, is acquiring Mimosa Networks, which supplies fixed-wireless gear to Reliance’s mobile operator Jio.

• Both private and public investment dedicated to securing India’s telecom independence is surging in India as the country rolls out 5G.

Roughly four years after it acquired the company in late-2018, radio access networking (RAN) vendor Airspan recently announced it has agreed to sell Mimosa Networks, its fixed-wireless unit, to Radisys, a RAN software provider owned by Indian conglomerate Reliance Industries, for $60 million. In 2022, Mimosa reported about $25 million in revenue.

Continue reading “Jio’s Acquisition of Mimosa is Another Sign of Indian Telecom Transformation”

Midband 5G and Fiber Drive Increased 2022 CapEx Guidance from US Operators

John Byrne, Service Director

Summary Bullets:

  • After a COVID-related decline in CapEx in 2020, US operators returned almost exactly to 2019 levels in 2021, in line with guidance provided at the beginning of the year.
  • Operators are planning to increase CapEx by double digits in 2022, with the increase being driven by midband 5G deployments and increasing appetite for fiber from both large and small operators.

An analysis of US operator financial results based on Q4 2021 earnings releases shows that CapEx in 2021 came in nearly identically to 2019 levels after a COVID-driven dip in 2020. The nine network operators shown below – all of which spent more than $1 billion in CapEx – spent $70.6 billion in 2021 CapEx, up 5.2% from 2020 and nearly flat from 2019. GlobalData estimates that the big three that account for nearly 70% of total CapEx – AT&T, Verizon, and T-Mobile USA – spent roughly $49 billion, up 7% from 2020. Continue reading “Midband 5G and Fiber Drive Increased 2022 CapEx Guidance from US Operators”

SoftBank Sustainability Bond Plans May Face Skeptical Investment Community

John Byrne, Service Director

Summary Bullets:

  • SoftBank plans to issue a sustainability bond to help fund its high-altitude platform station (HAPS) project designed to enable Internet service in currently hard-to-reach locales.
  • Investors may be reluctant to invest in the new bond because of the long timeframe to commercial viability, lack of a clear path to profit, and emerging competition from LEO competitors like Starlink and Project Kuiper.

Japanese investment management conglomerate SoftBank Corporation announced it will issue a sustainability bond to fund its novel HAPS project designed to enable Internet service in currently hard-to-reach locales. Sustainability bonds are becoming an increasingly popular way for telecoms operators to fund environmental initiatives; however, investors may be skeptical of SoftBank’s plans to use a sustainability bond to fund development of its still-unproven HAPS model. Continue reading “SoftBank Sustainability Bond Plans May Face Skeptical Investment Community”

Orange and Nokia Push the Circular Economy Forward with RAN Refurbishment

Andy Hicks, Principal Analyst

Summary Bullets:

  • Orange’s expansion of its equipment refurbishing efforts to the radio network represents new levels of scale, complexity, and maturity in its circular economy initiative.
  • Fears that reused radio equipment will not match the improved energy consumption of new units have not been borne out in real-world usage.

In October 2021, Paris-based multinational telecoms operator Orange announced an agreement with Nokia to increase its use of refurbished network equipment across its entire 26-country footprint. Beginning with radio access network (RAN) equipment, the arrangement will extend to other network infrastructure elements. In taking this step, Orange is establishing an advanced position that it hopes other telecoms groups will follow. Continue reading “Orange and Nokia Push the Circular Economy Forward with RAN Refurbishment”

AT&T and Verizon Showcase Two Approaches to Environmental Sustainability

John Byrne, Service Director

Summary Bullets:

  • AT&T announced a new initiative designed to help its customers dramatically reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The company still has work to do on internal ‘greenification.’
  • Verizon is taking a different approach, issuing its second and third $1 billion green bonds recently to fund a host of renewable energy contracts.

AT&T arguably took a leadership position among U.S. telecommunication operators, announcing August 31 that it will drive a reduction of a gigaton of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions —1 billion metric tons — by 2035, in conjunction with a consortium of partners that includes Microsoft, Equinix, Duke Energy, and a number of research universities. A gigaton is equal to roughly 15% of total U.S. greenhouse gas emissions and 3% of global emissions based on 2020 estimates. Continue reading “AT&T and Verizon Showcase Two Approaches to Environmental Sustainability”

Industry Mulling Impact of AT&T-Microsoft Core Deal

John Byrne, Service Director

Summary Bullets:

  • AT&T announced it will transfer its mobile network to the Microsoft Azure cloud, beginning with the 5G core.
  • Other operators are likely to make a similar transition, though many will take much longer to do so than AT&T.

AT&T certainly grabbed the headlines – and stole some of the already dim MWC Barcelona spotlight – with its announcement June 30 that it will move its 5G network to Microsoft’s Azure for Operators cloud, beginning with its 5G core. Continue reading “Industry Mulling Impact of AT&T-Microsoft Core Deal”

Vodafone Radio Contract with Samsung Is Small in Size but Large in Significance

John Byrne, Service Director

Summary Bullets:

  •  Samsung has traditionally found itself outside of the sphere of influence with European operators, but a combination of emerging vRAN and O-RAN technologies and geopolitics is creating a new opportunity.
  • The company’s O-RAN deal with Vodafone UK, announced in June, is small in size but could represent the beginning of a long tail of opportunity.

Vodafone UK announced in June it will deploy new radio technology from Samsung, including virtualized radio access network (vRAN) solutions as well as open RAN (O-RAN) compliant radios. For both technological and competitive reasons, the new deal – while relatively small in size – could be large in its impact. Continue reading “Vodafone Radio Contract with Samsung Is Small in Size but Large in Significance”